Construction costs are currently skyrocketing

Fortunately, the majority of people are reasonable. These conspiracy theories of yours are really terrible and partly destroy any factual discussion here.

Conspiracy theories can only be conspiracy theories until they have been proven true. There are still some here who are sleeping very deeply and soundly :)

If you guess 100 times and hit once, you were not right. You were just lucky.

Maybe we should get back to the topic of construction costs. Bookstar seems quite resistant to advice and anyone who is even halfway okay with the current politics is either a sleeping sheep or brainwashed by the lying press. On what basis should one conduct a discussion then?

Regarding construction costs: I also think it will remain expensive. Labor costs will continue to rise, demand remains high. I see a huge advantage with the fixed-price guarantee from the turnkey prefabricated house providers. I myself am absolutely glad to have built that way and to have weathered the turbulences since 2021 unscathed. Acquaintances who renovated with craftsmen had to experience extreme price jumps.

I hope the new KfW program with affordable loans provides enough incentive to build more houses again. Of course, the whole QNG program is again a boost for the prefabricated house industry. Personally, I think it’s good, I’m a fan of it.

You can still observe that huge houses are being built everywhere. It seems 160 sqm is the lower limit for many. I think with the interest rates, people will initially focus on smaller houses. Furthermore, one should not underestimate how well some couples earn. Two academics and 6000€ net income are not uncommon. Add an early inheritance and the financing is secured.

Oh yes: Civil engineering seems to be doing splendidly. Full order books. Source: Construction manager civil engineering.

I see a huge advantage with the fixed price commitment from the turnkey prefabricated house providers.

However, this does not have a direct connection at first, or one is not a prerequisite for the other. You can usually also arrange a fixed price commitment with the local general contractor or main contractor, and you can build turnkey with them anyway. They will just add a substantial risk surcharge, just like the prefabricated house general contractor does - well, maybe a bit more percentage-wise because their supply chains are not as secured in the long term. However, they don’t have a huge overhead (marketing, sales, and especially legal department) to finance, and are probably cheaper from the outset. Still nice that it worked out for you.

He will just give you a proper risk premium, just like the turnkey house general contractor

double-edged sword, the one with the too high premium is out again right away in the price comparison.
And since builders are becoming scarce now, it is worthwhile for builders again to compare prices and get counteroffers