ah there he is again. And in good manner, he regularly contradicts himself in just a few sentences...
After my forecast last year was heavily discussed here and still came true, even though for some it was unimaginable. The have risen significantly to 4 percent within a year. And of course they will continue to rise. I expect 6-8 percent by the end of the year.
The interest rates are not above 4%, certainly not significantly. Where should another significant increase come from? The sharply rising inflation has already slowed down, both in Europe and the USA. Without corresponding key interest rate hikes there is no indicator that mortgage rates will rise that strongly again.
Just heard, the postal workers' union is demanding a 15 percent wage increase in the new collective bargaining round. Now, as expected, a wage-price spiral is starting.
For example, the income of postal employees has only increased by a total of 6 percent in the past 10 years. Not per year, mind you, but in 10 years. What is 15 percent more salary today? Basically nothing.
You have provided the reason yourself why 15% is considered appropriate there. That is not transferable to other industries. Demands are also not agreements yet.
I also don’t believe that debts will be inflated away. Incomes can only run after galloping inflation.
Belief belongs in church. Incomes lagging behind inflation is nothing new or special. Hardly anyone negotiates their salary monthly. Even if incomes don’t increase 1:1 (retroactively), this is still massively beneficial for debtors.
The costs around the house will also rise significantly. The municipalities’ assessment rates are already being massively raised.
The municipalities’ assessment rates affect all forms of housing. That has nothing to do with house construction.
And yes, 5000 euros monthly income in 2021 is simply not 5000 euros purchasing power in 2023. Because purchasing power has almost halved.
You should sniff less gas, then more of your salary remains and your posts will no longer be so confused.
Congratulations to those who have invested long-term with low interest rates.
Yep.
Regarding the pension problem, one can only say the following. If in recent years not an infinite amount of money had been misappropriated from the pension fund, then today our pensioners would be living in a well-deserved prosperity. We’re talking about 700 billion. You can also call it the great pension fraud.
Where did the money go then and why are billions in tax subsidies still flowing into pensions? I only know pensioners who are doing very well. I have family members who received >90% of their previous salary upon (early) retirement, thanks to fat company pensions and the like. You can read in the daily press how popular retirement at 63 is – despite financial disadvantages.
The further development bodes nothing good. Currently, everyone is patting themselves on the back. Finally, we are delivering more tanks to Ukraine. And there should be many more. So the conflict is further fueled.
Besides delivering war equipment, there is only the option of capitulation.
Ukraine has rejected a 3-day ceasefire for Christmas.
Which Christmas do you mean? The Christian one hardly plays a role there, the country is predominantly Orthodox, meaning December 24-26 doesn’t matter there. Now Orthodox Christmas is starting, for which Mr. Putin has ordered a 36-hour ceasefire. We will see whether his people (try to) adhere to it. That there is no particularly high trust on either side should be clear.
No one is talking about peace negotiations.
Actually, yes, Mr. Putin named conditions for that. He wants to keep the internationally illegally occupied territories that are currently occupied by Russian invaders. Additionally, he also wants parts of the partially occupied provinces that he hasn’t even occupied. Like a cherry on the cake, so to speak. That is of course completely out of the question and utterly unrealistic from the perspective of a sovereign state like Ukraine. After the Crimea was already handed over in this way in 2014, it should be clear to everyone today that ceding territory only pauses the conflict.
Let’s see when the first German soldiers intervene in the war.
Before that, they’ll come to you.
At least it’s nice and warm, heating costs are moderate. That’s already positive!
Lucky that the doomsayers were wrong this time too. Unfortunately, they regularly heat up the mood so much that we as a country waste a lot of money to contain the panic that arises.