My boss, bless his little heart, still refuses the inflation adjustment and at the company where my husband works, 2% is currently being discussed as the maximum, since short-time work is also an issue there.
The very first sentence from my boss at my salary negotiation this year was "Straight away, there will be no inflation adjustment." Whereas you do wonder a bit with us why not... When the company is currently making record profits, you also think a bit "if not now, then when on earth?!" I can somehow understand that the employer doesn’t just stand there and say "okay, here, you all get 8% more" (ongoing client contracts also don’t suddenly just bring in more, some have similarly increased costs, blah blah) but it is really tedious. If you look at online guides about this, they also rather say "don’t argue with inflation, but with your own achievements/accomplishments" blah blah ... But if my own achievements justify an 8-9% increase without inflation, then with 8-9% inflation that’s still a pretty frustrating outcome (sigh).
That will get interesting with a property market overvalued by up to 40%.
Whereas I just don’t really see the complete crash there. Construction costs are currently just high as a fact (currently more justified due to energy and raw material prices than in previous years). For existing properties, it’s a bit of a question... With the interest rates, many things are less affordable... on the other hand, existing properties are also becoming more attractive because right now the costs are significantly more predictable there. I have a million question marks there. For example, what happens if the situation in the world calms down early again is of course a question (or the opposite). I somehow see a bit of a rocket-feather principle there (meaning that increases are passed on as quickly as possible but discounts take noticeably longer). I certainly would not bet that prices in the property market really have to fall now. On the other hand, I also wouldn’t want to bet that they will continue to rise. So the calculation "I will build the house today and if in doubt, be able to sell it at a profit in 10 years" is not something I’d want to bet on either. Definitely an exciting situation.