WilderSueden
2022-07-22 23:00:49
- #1
First of all, all predictions are at best well-educated guesses. Because everything that is clearly certain is priced in by the market immediately and almost completely. Accordingly, the forecasts by Interhyp, Dr. Klein, FMH and the like are probably more interpolations of the past. Currently, these are mainly recession expectations. When the recession eventually arrives, people also hope for an end to inflation due to falling demand. However, I would not rule out various other scenarios now, e.g. the combination of gas and euro crises. Then everything could develop completely differently.But does anyone actually know why? It still feels like the press and co always say "Year-end for 10-year fixed at 3.5-4%!!" or something like that with few deviations, and now it's actually been slowly and steadily going down for a while