On the topic: The wood price index has dropped by 50% in the last 3 months. Steel prices for hot-rolled steel and rebar are also continuing to decline slightly. Roof tiles and bricks are currently in short supply.
... let's see how this develops further.
I am still of the opinion that the many canceled projects, especially in the investor sector, will lead to some relaxation in the availability of certain materials starting in autumn. This will benefit all those who nevertheless took the risk and continued.
The industry is already noticing that it is extremely difficult to fill the sales pipeline due to the market conditions. The materials management department is also aware of this and will sooner or later have to adjust its price level to the noticeably declining demand. The fact that the market is currently still characterized by bottlenecks is solely due to the long lead time of house construction. But all projects started at the beginning of this year should by now have reached the interior finishing trades. And that is why prices are currently stagnating in the concrete and steel sectors, since the drop in demand naturally becomes visible here first. As already mentioned, we might see the same in the interior finishing trades from autumn onwards.
According to statistics, the number of building permits has noticeably declined, which should support my theory a bit.
The skilled labor shortage will probably be the next justification for price increases in the future if it is not the construction volume :-D