At the beginning of the year, when interest rates were still around 1 percent, I predicted interest rates of 5-6 percent by the end of the year. Anyone can read that here.
How I was insulted. Well, we are steadily approaching 4 percent and the year is not even half over. I stick to my statement. Interest rates will continue to rise sharply. Falling interest rates, which some here still dream of, are likely to belong to the past for a long time.
We will only see further low interest rates if the FED and the ECB are willing to give up our currencies.
Despite cuts in the key interest rate by the Russian central bank, the ruble has significantly appreciated against the dollar. Since March, by more than 100 percent. And this, although the Russian state bankruptcy was considered a done deal.
The fact is, price increases in Germany continue unabated. Teag in Thuringia is raising the gas price across the board in the low-wage state of Thuringia by 115 percent, starting August 1, 2022. Flour costs 0.89 cents per kilo, exactly twice as much as in March. Pasta has also risen by more than 100 percent. We don’t even need to talk about diesel and heating oil anymore.
Who on earth is babbling about falling interest rates in this scenario?
A looming impoverishment of further parts of the population can no longer be ruled out. The majority of the population decided this by voting. That must be accepted in democratic consensus. At the same time, one must try to make the best of it.
For me, rising interest rates have the advantage that I get more for my savings. Meanwhile, the Sparda Bank wanted to cancel my current account because I did not agree to the custody fees. But why should I allow myself to be blackmailed?
So I’m supposed to pay penalty interest, disguised as custody fees, for amounts over 25,000. After some threats from Sparda to cancel the account, one hears nothing more now. Apparently, it works without continuing.
Of course, I would be happy about savings interest rates of 7-8 percent as compensation for inflation, as was usual in the past during Bundesbank times. But that will come back too. Unfortunately, due to sanctions policy, one cannot convert into rubles. The currency with the best prospects for the future.
And to remind once again: Putin offered to immediately open North Stream II and supply cheap gas. Unfortunately, our government does not want that. That should be recorded for the history books.