Many construction projects will come to a halt by May at the latest if the trades do not already have the steel on site.
Crazy. Very crazy. As of today, most house-building companies are quite fully booked for this year. As of today, when you go to the initial consultation with the companies. A foundation slab in late summer or similar is still possible. Who can still afford to build with the current moon prices and the increased interest rates? Everyone who has a loan and a signed construction contract in their pocket is already set (apart from the 12-month price lock and the nasty surprise afterwards). But those who come as of today? With currently about 1.2% increased nominal interest rate on a loan amount of 500,000 euros, that means an additional 500 euros/month (or 6,000 euros per year) in interest. And the screw keeps turning almost weekly at the banks.
From what I have heard, many potential builders have already put their planned projects on hold. That should at least bring some relief towards the end of the year, at least regarding material availability.