Construction costs are currently skyrocketing

2023-10-18 10:44:42

This is certainly the best current forecast for interest rate development. Unfortunately, I still see the Japan curve as wishful thinking. How many times have I already seen this curve for Japan, and just as often has the development simply been postponed with "yeah, it didn't work, we'll just do it like every year and add 1 to each year number".

2023-10-18 11:08:42

You can pretty much throw all forecasts in the trash.

If you can already throw the consensus of the absolute top professionals in the trash, how are we supposed to evaluate your amateur/barroom slogans and forecasts? No one takes you seriously with your statements anymore. Sorry...

P.S. But you do have confidence, a lot of ignorance or expressed nonsense to represent with great vehemence. For that, my respect.

2023-10-18 14:09:40

3-4 accounts ago, there was still a "warning" about 8% interest at the turn of the year 2022.... So that was nothing either...

2023-10-18 16:01:26

Completely wrong.

Firstly, there were maybe a dozen accounts before, rather more. For the end of 2022, I had predicted 4-6 percent. That was unimaginable for most here. At that time, most financings here were still concluded at around 1.XX.

For the end of 2023, I had predicted 6-8 percent. By mid-2023 at the latest, we will see a 6 before the comma.

There are already fixed-term deposits for 5 % p.a.

2023-10-18 18:16:04

Completely wrong.

Firstly, there were maybe a dozen accounts before, or rather more. For the end of 2022, I had predicted 4-6 percent. That was unimaginable for most here. At that time, most financings were still completed around 1,XX.

For the end of 2023, I had predicted 6-8 percent. At the latest by mid-2023, we would see a 6 before the comma.

There are already fixed-term deposits for 5% p.a.

Mid-2023 is already over. We were far from your forecast then.

2023-10-18 19:09:53

Sorry, typo. It should of course be 2024 by then.

Construction costs are currently skyrocketing

HeimatBauer

KarstenausNRW

se_na_23

Buchsbaum

schubert79

Buchsbaum