Construction costs are currently skyrocketing

  • Erstellt am 2021-04-23 10:46:58

TmMike_2

2022-04-06 21:26:43
  • #1

Interest rates are short-term more aligned with bond yields. And yes, they are rising massively. But nobody. I do not know a single person who knows! knows what it will look like in 12, 24, 100 months
 

ypg

2022-04-06 21:31:05
  • #2
Well, about the same time last year I still thought: what is going to happen meanwhile that interest rates will rise. After all, the economy has to flourish, and that works very well with low interest rates. … exactly. They rise in times of crisis. At least that's how I've always somehow understood it. Someone once told me here that I have always built, bought, and financed in periods where the yield curve compared to the next 3-5 years was always going down. So I have financially messed up my life planning :p
 

TmMike_2

2022-04-06 21:33:00
  • #3

I thought exactly the same 1:1!!!
 

montessalet

2022-04-06 21:35:35
  • #4
Interest rates will rise. Even the current interest rates are still historically low. The market has been flooded with money in recent years. That was (and is) a reason for the still immense demand for home ownership. Debt costs too little money. The now relatively high inflation will also lead to higher interest rates: fewer people will be able to afford home ownership - so demand will decrease. Theoretically. However, there are dozens of other factors: supply, price developments in the construction sector, population development, key interest rate trends, alternative investments (or rather the returns of these investments), and so on and so forth. It certainly will not get easier...
 

Scout**

2022-04-06 21:38:33
  • #5
Let's put it this way, the key interest rate is already at 0.0%: it can't go any lower (otherwise you would even get money for your loan!) Your mortgage interest rate, however, consists of the sum of a) refinancing costs of the bank (approximately the key interest rate) plus b) individual risk premium (depending on borrower, loan-to-value ratio, location) plus c) cyclical risk premium plus d) profit margin. a cannot go lower, d hardly can (due to the market environment). After 10 years of booming economy, b can hardly be reduced any further. That leaves point c. How do you assess the environment: energy, sanctions, war, supply shortages, inflation expectations, pandemic aftermaths, etc.? If pessimistic, then this will eventually affect point b) as well in feedback. So you really have to be quite optimistic to expect mortgage interest rates to remain at the same level!
 

Peter Pohlmann

2022-04-06 21:43:47
  • #6
I am of the opinion that none of those present here will ever again see interest rates below 1 percent in their lifetime. The low interest rate phase has been passed, and it will never return. Realistically, key interest rates should be at 6 percent and mortgage rates at 8 percent. Anything else contradicts all economic principles. Due to artificially low interest rates, we have seen bubbles in various asset classes and a phase of extreme indebtedness of states, companies, and private individuals. Along with this come supply shortages and inflationary price developments. And I fear that the external constraints from a monetary policy perspective make drastic and rapid interest rate increases unavoidable. Inflation, especially that of food prices and energy, will become a threat to the political class. The pressure on central banks to rein in inflation will increase significantly. We are currently seeing how the USA tries to calm its voters. The USA has quietly increased its import of Russian oil by 40 percent while Europe is pushing for an oil embargo. Likewise, under pressure from American farmers, the import ban on fertilizer from Russia has been lifted again. Yes, the Americans continue to get fertilizer from Russia while we no longer receive any. There, it is about damage limitation. And with us, the damage keeps getting bigger.
 

Similar topics
17.08.2013Financing offer - Interest okay? Your opinion...10
08.04.2015Offer of financial consulting - Is the interest rate okay?15
18.04.2015Is a building savings contract still worthwhile with the current interest rates?10
28.06.2015Building a house - building savings contract with bad interest rates23
19.12.2015The key interest rate of the banks has been increased. How should this be evaluated?10
28.05.2016Annuity loan - Offered interest rates / Key points?17
22.06.2016Is a TA loan sensible? Interest and loan offer are okay13
27.03.2017Forward loan - Secure interest rates now?53
25.10.2018How do you take the interest into account from the purchase of the land until moving in?59
06.02.2020Energy "concept" for old farmhouse30
12.09.2021Purchase financing: how much equity (with the low interest rates)?27
11.07.2022House construction still realistic despite rising interest rates / construction costs?54
29.09.2022High interest rates with fixed interest, alternative flex loans?54
07.03.2024New funding for family home ownership201
22.03.2024Home purchase financing despite high interest rates?24
22.02.2024Heat pumps require a lot of energy and make noise73

Oben