Honestly, I don't quite understand the calculation, but I have to admit I haven't researched the numbers in detail. Maybe someone is more familiar with the details?
My knowledge is 3 billion p.a. They talk about almost 48,000 applications with 87,000 children or about 3,000 applications per week.
That would correspond according to Adam Riese to 156,000 applications per year. On average two children, so about 310,000 children eligible for funding.
How does the calculation continue now? 310,000 x €1200 = 372 million. That would be after three years then 3 x 372 million = 1.116 billion per year. That would be below the 3 billion.
Or is it calculated like provisions? So the federal government provides 3 x 3 billion, i.e. 9 billion, divided by €12,000 (funding over the total period) equals 750,000 eligible children. With an average of two children about 375,000 possible applications.
But why would the budget then run out towards the end of the year?
Do I have a mistake in my reasoning? Can someone help me shed some light on this?