Material prices are usually overestimated in their influence on the total price.
The same applies in a similar, somewhat milder way to products.
What definitely will not decrease in the foreseeable future are energy costs, wages, and other ancillary costs of the craft business, such as rent, vehicles, tools, etc.
By the way, often underestimated as well, special tools and measuring devices cost a lot of money, must be regularly sent for inspection, and so on. All of that has to be included in the hourly rate; the craftsman doesn’t have other income ;)
At least, I don’t know any craftsmen who drive a Porsche.
Therefore, even if the prices for photovoltaic panels fall by 50%, the offers from the solar specialist won’t be 50% cheaper, but rather 10 or 15%.