The data from the energy certificate are useless; they only inadequately reflect the actual consumption. For example, the energy certificate does not evaluate the quality of the design of the underfloor heating at all.
We only moved in at the end of November, and I am currently trying to reconcile the energy certificate with the actual consumption :) Although it is not a long-term consumption, what I find quite appropriate is the transmission loss of the building envelope compared to the current consumption of the heat pump. We have a total of about 100W/K transmission loss, which at a current delta-T of about 35K results in a heat demand of 3.5KW, i.e., 84KWh per day. The heating coefficient of performance for me is about 5.9, which results in approx. 14KWh electricity consumption per day... and that matches pretty well at the moment.
I ignore the internal gains assumed in the energy certificate, as they roughly compensate for the ventilation losses.
The calculation is obviously straightforward at large delta-T, since I have a modulating heat pump. As soon as the heat demand is less than the lowest modulation stage, my heat pump will cycle... I assume then the above-mentioned trick no longer works. We'll see.