Good morning,
Yesterday, when I first skimmed through this thread, I was already itching to respond; unfortunately, I only have time to reply today, on my way to Dortmund.
If interest rates rise, building will definitely become cheaper. Demand decreases (see above), so construction contractors, material manufacturers, etc. have to share an ever-smaller pie, which inevitably leads to more competition.
How do you come to the conclusion that "building a house" becomes cheaper when interest rates rise?
I’ll gladly explain what will happen: the market for building single-family homes & co. will finally "normalize" again. Currently, interest rates are historically low, which has led many people to sign a contract for a piece of house that, upon closer examination, they could not and cannot actually afford. These contracts have only a very small share gone to those I would describe as reputable providers. Majority-wise, companies like Billigheim & Co. are pleased with well-filled order books. This will— and here I dare to predict—prove true in the coming months with increased customer dissatisfaction. Because one thing is for sure: the complaining homeowner will not look for faults on their side; that would be too painful. No, they will happily use construction diaries to put the evil contractual partners on the spot.
The "decreasing demand" you mention will therefore not hit the market of reputable providers; nor will these providers reduce their prices. They simply cannot, because a ton of Ytong/highly perforated bricks or whichever stone it may be does not suddenly get cheaper from the manufacturer. Nor will the craft businesses want to pay the price; rather, jobs will be cut. Incidentally, the reputable providers/craft businesses will also be able to survive a - temporary - worse order situation without having to resort to some of the strange excesses of our job.
Ah yes, the banks were and always are the good guys, right? You don’t really believe that yourself! At least I don’t need to insult anyone! Great forum!!!
I do not particularly appreciate your style here; meaning, I do appreciate traffic—mostly users like you create a "more" of it—but not at the expense of an otherwise factual forum style!
If you get "headwind," you have to be able to deal with it, because this forum is certainly no wish concert. And whether bankers are fundamentally worse people, you can easily answer for yourself. Are you absolutely sure that, if you were employed in a significant position at a financial service provider during the last banking crisis, you would have been innocent? Opportunity makes a thief is an old but still valid saying.
If you cannot answer this question spontaneously and 100% with "yes," you should stop pointing fingers at others. Because even here, you seem to forget that three more point in your direction.
Rhenish greetings on the go