The climate region is 7a. Of course, I cannot say the actual demand....how could I?
How can you want to build a house without
first knowing what consumption costs you will later have to expect for heating, hot water, and possibly ventilation? That would never occur to me.
Of course, the actual demand can be calculated in advance! That is the crucial basis for everything else. The consumption is then obtained in connection with the respective technical solution. This allows these, or the investment for them, to be evaluated.
.....Are the two systems so close together that you have to calculate it that precisely?
The days of open campfires are over. You didn’t have to calculate anything then. Modern technology is expensive,
can be very efficient, but at the same time is also very sensitive. Without exact planning/dimensioning you will get a heating system that provides warmth, but it will not be efficient.
The systems are not close together, but depending on boundary conditions, far apart. With heat pumps, consumption is lower than demand, the specific price per kWh is higher. With conventional heat generators, it is the other way around.
Often in forums the question is asked: "We have xy, is the consumption normal?" Completely pointless, because what do you want to compare it with if you don’t even have the concrete figures for your own building? This is how it happens that buildings have higher consumption over decades than would actually be necessary.