Georgian2019
2022-02-24 18:01:59
- #1
And that is exactly what I did not do and also do not consider it sensible at all. With my remaining debt, there is little to fear. For the follow-up financing, an increase in installments is also considered; depending on how much I repay beyond the building savings contract and how the interest rate develops exactly, I will probably become a full repayer in about 11-12 years with a €2000 installment. My goal is definitely not to pay off a house over 30 years, which I consider extremely unreasonable, also with regard to the maintenance costs that will then arise.
If others plan for 35 years and then fix the rate for only 10 years, that is their problem. There is definitely not only one solution, "as long a fixed interest rate as possible." Depending on the financing and personal risk tolerance, other variants are also rational.
For me, it looks something like this:
2% for follow-up financing -> bet fully paid off, the fools who paid 1.7% on everything back then...
2.5% -> still good
3% -> doesn’t matter, both about equally good
4% -> I just need one more year than with 3%, but no apocalypse
5% and higher -> then the debts are probably inflated away
You can play all that through calmly today. And in this case, there is a decent upside with limited downside. If at the end of the 2020s a major crisis manifests and interest rates plummet again, I will do a forward and take it with me. If at the end of the 2020s a strong interest rate increase should be indicated, there is also the possibility of a forward. So I definitely have options for action. In addition, there is a solid ETF savings plan running; if absolutely necessary, some of that can still be redirected into financing. But I would not now strictly plan the stock market into financing, only always as an option in case conditions are favorable.
With a 30-year fixed interest rate, after 10 years I also look at how the interest rates/loan-to-value ratios are then: either I refinance at (more favorable conditions) or I enjoy the then comparatively low (old) interest rate. A 0.5% difference over 10 years is a good and affordable risk premium if I thereby possibly buy myself 20 years of lower interest rates in a rising interest rate environment!
And of course I let 30 years at 1.66% with a moderate installment run through, assuming 2% or more inflation per year. Inflation works in my favor, and I prefer to invest salary increases in ETFs/stocks, since the return on the stock market on average is higher than my 1.66% nominal rate.
Whether I am done after 20 years with a higher repayment rate and higher installments and then have to renovate, or whether I finance 30 years with a lower constant installment while salaries increase and have to modernize after 20 years during financing doesn’t really matter. As long as my installment is not set too high from the start...