QQSTSolar
2022-09-21 20:48:44
- #1
Anyone can still build very comfortably today. The problematic issue is the excessive demands. It has to be at least a city villa with all the possible extras. No longer a must-have, but only nice-to-have.
The biggest item in house construction with a general contractor is, however, the value-added tax. Anyone who thinks their house costs 500,000 euros must also deduct the VAT. And that is how you earn significantly more when you do the work yourself.
Out of curiosity, I drive through new development areas. I get out, look inside the houses, and evaluate the most diverse qualities. You always meet the various tradespeople and the craftsmen themselves. You just have to listen to them a bit. You can't learn more than that. But who am I telling this to? The builder just prefers to go on vacation instead of checking out other construction sites during the week.
I am no longer a builder myself, but I can say what is currently available, what inexpensive alternatives there are, or where you can still get a heat pump. Before building, you also have to build a network, I have already written that here. You have to be brave and also speak the language of the craftsmen. If I show up at the construction site with old work pants, it's something different than in a suit after work.
And there are always low-cost illegal workers. You just have to know them. Nothing has changed. If I can build a house for 200,000 euros, then the 3 percent interest doesn't hurt me either.
A few weeks ago, I already forecasted maintenance costs of 2,000 euros for a house. That becomes threatening for the middle class. Many will still be surprised here.
But basically, these are all side issues. The euro is practically crashing and losing value steadily. The German government is becoming more and more chaotic and unpredictable. The economy is collapsing. Immigration is reaching new record levels these days. Interest rates will rise dramatically. 3-4 percent are therefore still really super cheap.
The biggest problem that worries me the most is the expanding war. We are only at the beginning. The war will spread to core Europe. In Ukraine, Russia and NATO stand directly opposed. NATO arms deliveries, NATO soldiers in Ukraine, target acquisition against Russian troops from Germany, etc.
Against this, the partial mobilization of 300,000 Russian soldiers. New conflicts in the Balkans between Serbia and Kosovo, in Armenia, in Syria, in Taiwan, and so on.
I firmly expect a NATO war against Russia. Therefore, I would wait now and put everything on hold. Take savings out of the euro and convert them into other assets. Watch the situation. Since we are heading into a severe liquidity crisis, prices will collapse. Soon no one will have any interest in real estate anymore. That's how it looks.
What do you want to do if our Chancellor Scholz orders a general mobilization? Then it's off to the Eastern Front. Early at six at the train station. Therefore, daydreaming about building a house these days is a waste of time.
The biggest item in house construction with a general contractor is, however, the value-added tax. Anyone who thinks their house costs 500,000 euros must also deduct the VAT. And that is how you earn significantly more when you do the work yourself.
Out of curiosity, I drive through new development areas. I get out, look inside the houses, and evaluate the most diverse qualities. You always meet the various tradespeople and the craftsmen themselves. You just have to listen to them a bit. You can't learn more than that. But who am I telling this to? The builder just prefers to go on vacation instead of checking out other construction sites during the week.
I am no longer a builder myself, but I can say what is currently available, what inexpensive alternatives there are, or where you can still get a heat pump. Before building, you also have to build a network, I have already written that here. You have to be brave and also speak the language of the craftsmen. If I show up at the construction site with old work pants, it's something different than in a suit after work.
And there are always low-cost illegal workers. You just have to know them. Nothing has changed. If I can build a house for 200,000 euros, then the 3 percent interest doesn't hurt me either.
A few weeks ago, I already forecasted maintenance costs of 2,000 euros for a house. That becomes threatening for the middle class. Many will still be surprised here.
But basically, these are all side issues. The euro is practically crashing and losing value steadily. The German government is becoming more and more chaotic and unpredictable. The economy is collapsing. Immigration is reaching new record levels these days. Interest rates will rise dramatically. 3-4 percent are therefore still really super cheap.
The biggest problem that worries me the most is the expanding war. We are only at the beginning. The war will spread to core Europe. In Ukraine, Russia and NATO stand directly opposed. NATO arms deliveries, NATO soldiers in Ukraine, target acquisition against Russian troops from Germany, etc.
Against this, the partial mobilization of 300,000 Russian soldiers. New conflicts in the Balkans between Serbia and Kosovo, in Armenia, in Syria, in Taiwan, and so on.
I firmly expect a NATO war against Russia. Therefore, I would wait now and put everything on hold. Take savings out of the euro and convert them into other assets. Watch the situation. Since we are heading into a severe liquidity crisis, prices will collapse. Soon no one will have any interest in real estate anymore. That's how it looks.
What do you want to do if our Chancellor Scholz orders a general mobilization? Then it's off to the Eastern Front. Early at six at the train station. Therefore, daydreaming about building a house these days is a waste of time.