BackSteinGotik
2020-12-26 12:20:18
- #1
Now, assuming our net equity remains the same for some reason (which is highly unlikely, but worst case). And within 2 years, we have paid off about 40K (target repayment is higher, but just for the sake of assumption). Construction costs have increased by 10% during this time (5% p.a. the current upward trend???). Would a bank even finance the construction with a remaining debt of 100-120K? It’s different when it comes to the land sum than when you finance 40-50-60K variably and have good chances of full repayment.
Either way, it’s somehow tight. Or do banks also count the current land value at the time as equity? For example, if the land appreciates during this time.
Yes, for many people today it is tight to impossible – even with more equity and higher incomes. That is the essence of this crisis, which goes unmentioned. The biggest driver is the scarce land – you yourself mention the increases of recent years – and looking over 10 years it gets even more extreme. And construction itself has of course also increased substantially.
No one can tell you how it will continue. I gathered from your threads that you have relatively high demands. Short vacations, desire for ownership instead of renting, part-time work. Building under the current conditions will completely define your life for a long time. It simply won’t run "on the side." To some extent that was always so, but back then the general demands were much lower.
Therefore, I currently consider it only sensible to calculate a "total price" and see if it is feasible to carry out the project within a reasonable timeframe without interest rate risk over 20+ years. Without creative value increases and other things – buying today, current salaries over the term – is it doable? Then okay and go ahead. Owner-occupation of course, since no one knows when the cycle will turn in the other direction. You have to be able to endure that too...