Actually, I don’t like having discussions with people who call me stupid every other sentence. But out of interest in the topic, I want to at least partially respond once more.
... and the security is at risk if no repayment is made or if the substitution of it at the key date does not bring the expected return. All the builders of the 90s went through this, where repayment suspensions were covered by life insurance. At the time of conclusion, of course, surpluses were expected, it was a great time and the 10 years before – in retrospect – would have worked wonderfully too.
You don’t seem to get that. Your construct is based on a safe profit and this is a fallacy. You have fallen for a severe bias, of the finest kind. Hence my question, how much experience you already have with such investments, or if your head is just in the clouds, clouded by the last 8 years in which you could do nothing wrong except not being invested.
What I understand is that stocks yield 6-8% return per annum in the long term. If I look at a mixed portfolio, 3-4% p.a. after taxes is still possible. These are very long-term empirical values. I myself have also been investing for well over 8 years and yes, I have already paid my dues. But I know what I am doing, even if you don’t seem to believe that.
But argued differently, let’s suppose my stocks are actually only worth 50% of the purchase price after 10 years. What happens in the worst case? I just leave them for a few more years and take out a higher follow-up loan. You shouldn’t go into such an investment completely penniless.
Classification into risk classes by type of asset was outdated even in grandpa’s times, so you don’t need to draw a comparison to poorly rated government bonds.
And how you define risk, we have already learned:
I don’t need government bonds. We can also gladly take bank deposits, which everyone considers so incredibly safe. I consider my stocks safer than bank deposits in the long run.
How I define risk, you haven’t learned yet. So far I have only explicitly opposed risk assessment based on volatility.
Then make a virtue out of necessity and screw the financing costs (oops, apparently it’s a leveraged deal), stop buying and put the money directly into the portfolio and remain a tenant. I mean it! I am firmly convinced that after 40 years you will be better off than a homeowner. Oh, you don’t want that? Then think about what else you associate with an owner-occupied property besides return. Because you are currently reducing it only to that aspect. Question why you want to have one like that.
And pssst, don’t tell your lending bank about your plan, otherwise the deal won’t go through or you will be terminated without notice as soon as the facts come out afterwards. But banks usually prevent this cleverly with minimum repayments.
You are completely right with your suggestion. Viewed solely as an investment, an owner-occupied home is crap. According to that, I should probably stay a tenant. Why won’t I do that? Obviously because I see other advantages. That’s why an owner-occupied property is consumption and not an investment.
Oh, yes, I will tell the bank about my plan. A good banker will be able to understand my reasoning. I am not the first to do this nor the last. How else should I explain to the banker that I only want to use a fraction of my equity for the house and also only a fraction of my freely available income for repayment? I don’t intend to lie. And I have no problem if the bank wants, for example, a minimum repayment of 1.5%. But if they want more, then it will be another bank.
You can also think about why commercial banks don’t borrow tens of billions of € from the ECB at zero cost every day and make clever investments like the ones you suggest. Arbitrage trades are blessed with certain pitfalls that apparently are completely foreign to you.
An arbitrage trade is when you buy a security in location A at a lower price and sell it in location B at a higher price at logically the same moment. What I am proposing is not an arbitrage trade.
I would like to point out that some users who respond to you here know that they earn above-average incomes and manage six-figure portfolios (or managed). Therefore, you are putting yourself out on a limb trying to play the teacher of financial education here.
Another subtle insult. I am not inclined to teach anyone anything. That is something everyone must decide for themselves. And just because someone earns well or manages six-figure portfolios doesn’t mean they know their stuff financially. I know enough people who earn above average and have a certain wealth but still keep everything in savings accounts or life insurance.
By the way, I have more the impression that you think you need to lecture me.