There are basically two points of view: From an economic perspective, it takes forever at today's prices to recoup the additional investment. And even if the surcharge is nonsensical, as a customer you can hardly do anything about it. On the other hand, the current route is away from fossil fuels. This is also controlled through things like the CO2 tax. Personal opinion (!): I would not install any heating system other than a heat pump nowadays for heating, unless there is no other option. The path is clear, away from fossil fuels. For amortization calculations, one should actually consider the increasing CO2 tax, etc., as well as fluctuating electricity prices. But I would definitely rely on electricity, since DE can basically produce it itself, and to some extent even the individual can. In contrast, gas has to be imported, and how quickly the price fluctuates (when there is a conflict in world politics) can be seen clearly at the moment. There is also a topic about gas price increases here.