For a still relatively short period, feed-in is still worthwhile. The date of the system registration counts. The feed-in tariff decreases every month. When registering a system under 10 kWp in September 2019, it was still 10.73 ct / kWh; in January 2020 it was 10.27 ct / kWh, already 5% less within 4 months. And it continues like this until there is no longer a legally fixed feed-in tariff. The prices for the systems continue to fall – as a private person you buy a heat pump installed in decent quality for about 1.00€. Now the calculation without subsidy with an electricity price of 30 ct per kWh:
Consumption in the house: 5000 kWh System (East-West): 6000 kWp Annual production: 5000 kWh Own consumption from the system: 3500 kWh
System costs: 6000€ Savings per own-consumed kWh: 20 ct Annual savings through own consumption: 3500 x 0.20 = 700€ Payback period < 9 years
When the feed-in tariff expires, the system sizing for own consumption is decisive. A much larger system only increases the proportion of own consumption to a very small extent and then becomes uneconomical. The share of own consumption can then only be increased with a storage solution. This is where hot water storage, batteries, etc. come into play.
If you buy the system above with battery storage, e.g. 2.4 kWh, then it costs around 7500€ including a different inverter. You increase own consumption to 3850 kWh (corresponds to about 150-180 charge cycles per year depending on degradation) System costs: 7500€ Savings per own-consumed kWh: 20 ct Annual savings through own consumption: 3850 x 0.20 = 770€ Payback period < 10 years
The “bets” on whether this pays off are the following assumptions: 1. How does the electricity price develop -> the higher the assumption, the more the battery pays off 2. How many charge cycles do I achieve per year -> some assume under 100, then it never pays off, others measure over 200 per year, which is probably the main point of contention 3. Assumption of the battery’s lifespan.
Those who do not see photovoltaics purely as a financial product but also as part of the design of the house can trade payback time for aesthetics and the value increase of the house. After all, façade and garden design are often chosen for aesthetics and not for a minimal budget. It is even said that there are people who buy cars without ever thinking about payback.