What can we finance?

  • Erstellt am 2019-01-21 21:24:04

BauBob7

2019-01-25 14:28:44
  • #1


I have already explained everything to you once, I will not do it a second time. If you want to run around with your eyes and ears closed, please go ahead.

You are engaging in a whitewashing and ignoring or twisting facts. I have stopped discussing with such people who are not interested in facts but only look for pebble stones that might be useful for their predetermined opinion.
 

chand1986

2019-01-25 14:40:05
  • #2


Then we should find another opportunity for a beer - this "discussion" certainly won’t be one.

Otherwise, it may be that you had to stop having such discussions because not everyone will agree with you. Your chain of arguments is simply not convincing. Whether that is due to you or the recipients, everyone can decide for themselves. It has nothing to do with a preconceived opinion - I used to calculate like you as well and changed my opinion on this for good reasons.

What we’re talking about here can, in case of doubt, be worked through by anyone themselves using a spreadsheet (under a few assumptions) and then decide for themselves.
 

Musketier

2019-01-25 15:34:18
  • #3
The problem at this point is that for future considerations you always have to make assumptions, and for backward considerations you may lack comprehensive data or the statements are pointless because the result can look completely different from period to period or from place to place.

As an example
10-12 years ago there were still yield properties here for 10-15 times the annual rent.
Some places are now well above 30 times the annual rent.
So backward consideration is absolutely useless.

By the way, to be honest, I also found a little hitch in my calculation.
The comparable rents are from the last 2 years. Before that, there were no such properties. But that also means that the rent increase would have to be recalculated over 3-4 years. Also, I only know how the properties were listed online. Whether they were actually rented out at that rent, I don’t know.

The nice thing about homeownership is the freedom to design the property the way you need/want it. We would never have built our terrace roof as tenants. You would probably have already considered a sunshade if the landlord didn’t contribute anything. But you can’t put a monetary value on that.
 

chand1986

2019-01-25 15:45:46
  • #4

Yeah. Value increases, rent increases, inflation, maintenance costs, returns from other investments, all just to be used as estimates, sometimes more sometimes less reliable.



Which makes rents relatively cheaper compared to buying/building... and purely economically sensible to sell and switch to rental property. I've been saying that all along *duckandrun*



And that is the reason for owning your own property. No fictitious returns/non-returns.
 

Musketier

2019-01-25 17:54:48
  • #5


Since has now skillfully twisted my words, a small remark. Even though we regularly question our expenses in terms of utility, if I really had 200K€, 300K€ or half a million in the bank now, then surely our 13-year-old second car would find a new owner in Africa and a vacation or two would be a bit bigger. So the car stays until the TÜV separates us and at least this year the vacation will not go beyond the borders of the EU. Therefore, not everything would land in the stock depot/fund and generate returns, because what use is a million in the stock depot at the end of life. So the decision is only between luxury in your own home or luxury in vacation/consumption.
 

BauBob7

2019-01-25 21:35:15
  • #6
Once again really plain and simple

Object costs 100,000 EUR
Rent 6.8%, so 6,800 EUR

Equity 20,000 EUR
Capital market also brings me 6.8% dead sure
Interest is 2%

one period
Start and end

Tenant
20,000 EUR
6.8% capital market return = 1,360 EUR return
6,800 EUR rent payment
Final sum: 20,000 + 1,360 - 6,800 = 14,560

Buyer
20,000 EUR equity + 80,000 EUR borrowed
2% interest on 80,000 EUR borrowed: -1,600 EUR
Final sum: 18,400 EUR equity + 80,000 EUR borrowed

Conclusion: Buyer wins. This can now be complicated with several periods, which is just a repetition and does not change the result (1 + 1 + 1 equals the same as [1 + 1] and then one more 1).

And now the case with 100,000 EUR equity:

Financier:
20,000 EUR equity + 80,000 EUR invested
2% interest on 80,000 EUR borrowed: -1,600 EUR
6.8% return on 80,000 EUR: 5,440 EUR
Final sum: 103,840 EUR

Buyer:
100,000 EUR contributed
no interest, no rent, no return
Final sum: 100,000 EUR

Conclusion: Buying or financing is an independent decision and can improve the return. The return is improved exactly when interest rates are lower than return.

In the case of a private apartment buyer, the return is exactly the saved rent. This is absolutely certain, future price increases are expected but speculative. In every practical case the external interest rate is below the rent, even in Munich. The only sensible thing is a higher equity contribution to just fall below such a limit so that the external interest rate for the entire debt becomes lower (80%, 60%, etc.).

Of course, the capital market interest rate is not 6.8% and not nearly as certain as the return of saved rent. 4.87% minus taxes and fees are just under 3% before inflation.
 

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