Well, business management calculation.
Presumably, the oil heating system will win because of the currently low oil price. But the Energy Saving Ordinance probably only allows it if sufficient solar is included. However, I do not know that.
The question must therefore focus on the development of future prices of the energy source and whether and how it can be replaced.
An oil drilling rig in the garden... mmmm difficult. Photovoltaics on the roof, more possible.
Price development of energy sources: probably rather rising in the long run.
Photovoltaics as an investment probably falling, but you burn the surplus in summer. Then the pool with heating is worthwhile.
Presumably, the brine-water heat pump would at first glance be the biggest economic nonsense, but I would always prefer it to the air-water heat pump.