BackSteinGotik
2021-05-28 16:38:13
- #1
If the ground lease payment remains the same, the burden will become relatively cheaper due to inflation.
Speculating on an interest rate turnaround is certainly one possibility, but definitely the least reliable when making a choice. A massive price collapse is unrealistic. Maybe still possible with land but
However, the ground lease payment does not remain the same in absolute terms, only relatively. If wages keep pace with inflation, the share of income for the ground lease will remain the same. Then, when income shrinks with retirement, the share for the leased land will increase accordingly. That should be considered.
I have never understood why people are still convinced that 10% price increases per year are completely normal, but the opposite direction is not, and prices never fall. Of course, prices can fall sharply, quite certainly in the next ten years. Ultimately, it is simple demography. We just had the chart about that in a neighboring thread. And ground lease is special – certainly not a positive feature in a buyer’s market.