Why?
For one, because otherwise, as correctly pointed out, you have more full cycles than days. Theoretically, this could work if you also discharge the battery during the day, but I find that hard to believe. On the other hand, most of the system losses occur outside the battery (in the inverter), meaning electricity lost in the inverter never even reaches the battery and therefore has nothing to do with its charging/discharging cycles. At least that’s what I suspect as a non-professional ;)
Otherwise, I calculated with my numbers from post #38 (period January 1 to September 15):
Battery charge = 1,181 kWh Battery discharge = 943 kWh Battery gross capacity = 9.8 kWh Battery net capacity = 9.3 kWh (according to data sheet)
Results in 943 / 9.3 = 101 full cycles in the mentioned period. Since the depth of discharge at night increases toward winter, I forecast 160-170 cycles per year for us. We receive just under 9 cents feed-in tariff, so the difference to the purchase price can be reasonably assumed to be 20 cents. That results in €189 “savings” until mid-September, and a forecast of €260-280 for the entire year. To be completely accurate, VAT on self-consumption should still be considered here, so €153 until mid-September and €210-225 forecast for the entire year. And now taking into account the lost 20% system loss, approximately €130 until mid-September and €180-200 for the entire year remain.
We paid €6,500, minus €2,000 direct subsidy, so ‘net’ €4,500. With luck and no repairs, that will be a break-even game over 20 years...