Hyponex
2022-04-02 15:39:08
- #1
so roughly speaking: for a house like that, you have to plan for 2,000€ or more as "cold rent."
with current income/expenses, you save 20,000€ per year. That is per month: 1,666€ warm rent: 768€ total therefore: 2,434€
the house would probably have higher costs, i.e. you probably have to expect 200-300€ more costs, depending on heating costs etc. (Telekom, mobile, GEZ remain the same)
that means with a monthly burden of 2,000€, there would hardly be any saving potential,
as I said, if you don't want to miss the opportunity, it would probably only be possible if you could manage it for 1,600/1,800€ in the first phase. because I also see it as a chance to build some assets + security.
the other side would be: if something happens and the job is lost, then you face: - higher rent costs (same apartment then almost 1,000€ more costs per month) - daycare fees (ok, these would fall away if you change employer, so independent of the house)
in recent years, those who have taken risks have always benefited well. (and have bought endless properties as investments, then partly sold them again).
how will rents develop for you in the coming years? considering: - due to increased construction costs, less is being built than planned? - the interest rates cause 1) owner-occupiers to build less and 2) investors to also build less if it pays off less?
it shouldn’t be that you have to do this, I think that is clear for you now.
but a suggestion, also for other readers.
because I think housing is scarce (there is no need to discuss that), and construction costs + interest rates will tighten it even more! property prices have doubled in recent years compared to rents, so could property prices fall now? (housing is still scarce, large inheritances flow (inheritance generation; and there are no interest rates on investing money!), therefore there is enough capital on the market) or will rents rise now?
additionally, inflation, currently at 6%, will it fall again next year? (2021: 3.1%, the years before averaged about 1.5%) this further strengthens the flight of money into real assets, another reason why property prices won’t fall...
so, enough annoyed ;)