Speckgürtel is a term that everyone can interpret differently, right?
Sort of. However, your property is so far from any definition of Speckgürtel that this is actually not debatable in this context. In the Speckgürtel, there is a streetcar or S-Bahn connection or at least a direct bus connection and some other structures that _do not_ exist in the immediate vicinity of your location. Otherwise, the price per sqm would not be 30€.
To be honest, I don't even know what we are discussing here? You claimed the property has experienced a value increase of 20-30€ in the last 2 years. That is - with all due respect - complete nonsense.
20km to the Berlin city limits is Speckgürtel for me - maybe not for you.
Distance is not everything; it is much more about accessibility and infrastructure. Without even knowing where exactly this is, I can tell you straight away that there is no hospital, no cinema, no train station there. Also, your property is so far from the town center that you would have to walk at least 30 minutes to the church tower, probably longer than an hour.
I just looked again at the standard land values, which logically can only be based on sold properties in the area, and in the corners of the small town, where several sales took place in recent months, the price per sqm is now 80€/m². In the area where the potential property is located, the old town center where everything is built up and only sold upon death or senility, the standard value is quite stable. Where the town is expanding, prices are exploding. How do you explain standard land values in a town with 17,000 inhabitants ranging from 20€/m² - 80€/m²?
That is not an explosion but fundamentally still too low. Pure arable land has a price of <5€. If it becomes building land, the price increases at least by the development costs, i.e., what has been invested in infrastructure for roads, cables, planning, etc. Depending on the standard of execution, this alone is about ~40€/m², meaning anything traded below 50€/m² has either old infrastructure that must be renewed in the foreseeable future or the location is so poor that nobody wants to go there.
The explosions happen elsewhere, namely where prices of +200€/m² are actually paid and where infrastructure grows accordingly.
Demand is high, supply is scarce.
Supply cannot be scarce if a property of this size is basically thrown at you for 1€.
Thus, logically, existing properties are also traded at high prices. Current offer on a real estate portal: 60m² single-family house on 1,500m² land near a lake (just under a kilometer) for 160,000€ plus broker fee.
Whether that is high or low cannot be judged based on this data.
This region is surrounded by a total of 4 natural swimming lakes with several hectares of area.
Exactly. Wilderness as far as the eye can see, recreational area for Berlin. Fits the standard land value price. Demand for living/life there is rather low compared to the real Speckgürtel.
If you want to badmouth things,
I'm not trying to badmouth things; I am warning you against blindly diving into an investment whose consequences are completely unclear to you. Standard land values do not fall from the sky; appraisal committees may sometimes be rather cautious, but the appraisers are not completely stupid either – hence it is to be assumed that the standard value of 30€ is appropriate and not completely undervalued. I am definitely not responsible for that; I neither determined the value nor is it my appraisal.
then you can do so gladly, but please refer to facts; otherwise, I ask you to stay on topic.
I
refer to facts. I
am on topic.
I did not ask you to evaluate my region.
Yes, exactly that you did when you started this thread. It is not my fault that the result does not match your expectations.
I am smart enough myself to know that a house for 500,000€ in the desert might be worth less than in Fort Lauderdale.
Well then be smart and don’t put yours in the desert. Alternatively, you can upload the cadastral map of the property with the location designation here – then you can be very quickly told the difference between Speckgürtel and the location.
Best regards
Dirk Grafe