My own experience with a hillside construction in 2018/19 and the assessment of "experienced professionals" showed me that they can be mistaken, I do not assume that they want to be. I no longer remember the exact figures and have no desire to look them up. The architect's initial estimate for the foundation slab including earthworks was ultimately a quarter of the actual costs. Here, the decision to go further into the hillside changed the quantity structure, as we encountered soil class 7, which meant that excavation was no longer possible and chiseling was required (the surveyor who took 2 samples did not recognize this), quickly had to build a crane platform to manage logistics uphill, gave the driveway a slightly different curve... finished were over €200k additional costs compared to the first thrown-out number. All experienced men, all comprehensible. I have to admit that we were not always relaxed during this cost increase process. Overall, however, the construction period was a very nice phase of life for us. If the additional costs had led to financial exhaustion, it certainly would have been different. Take a good look in your wallet – with your cost estimate it would be good to have solid safety reserves.