My house has a heating load of about 9 kW at the current (~-4°) temperatures. Most of the electricity is used for that. The drops are all defrosting processes, which shows how humid the air is additionally. Then two hours of electric car charging (3.6 kW), two washes, one dryer, one dishwasher. Base load about 300 watts.
And yes - the fourth one was really far from anything that has come before. It felt like night all day... November, December didn’t have a single day under 4 kWh. And then that...
I have actually never looked at the autonomy rate, but found it (for January):
Summer months are over 70%, Nov + Dec around 30%.
28 kWp, no storage.