jens.knoedel
2024-01-08 09:40:56
- #1
Now the follow-up questions:
How often and with what advance notice can one freely change the repayment within the range of 1-5%?
3x (I had also written this); no advance notice, implemented with the next installment
The special repayment can be chosen every year at will and without effect on the following year. Is that also the case with the repayment reduction? That’s exactly what I mean by "do you want to become an expert in the fine print?"
What “fine print”? The effect of changing the repayment is solely a lower repayment and lower installment or solely a higher repayment and higher installment. That’s it – but that’s exactly what is intended. There are “only” four or five lines with the option. No further conditions or fine print. No conditions or dependencies.
Rationally considered, the bank must price the second case higher. Therefore the theoretical statement: As far as the extent of flexibility is identical (only in the opposite direction), the repayment suspension must be priced higher than the special repayment.
No, you forget that with a lower repayment the interest payment and thus also the margin as a sum over the term is higher. The risk is already priced in with the initial disbursement. Therefore we are happy about repayment reductions, as they also increase the bank’s profit! And that at unchanged risk. Crazy...
Accordingly, the pricing also fits: higher price for special repayments, as the bank’s profit is guaranteed to decrease. Lower price for repayment changes, as the bank’s profit tends to increase (of course there are also repayment increases, but to a lesser extent).
We model our prices based on experience in the utilization of the options. Both options (special repayment and repayment change) are actually overvalued in reality, since most customers pay for the options but do not use them.