My impression is also that this (for me manageable) risk is rather rarely taken
I do not generally consider your approach wrong, and as bookstar wrote, it may be an outdated paradigm.
It also depends on the personal financial background. Inheritance, well-off family, own high liquidity, etc.
My thoughts on this:
- The speculation period is very long. I do not know how many years you have under your belt, but the last 10 years have been a dream for all property owners. Whether through dirt-cheap refinancing or exploding value.
It has not always been like this, and there are (long) cycles here as well, just like in all other industries. Do not make the mistake of assuming that the last 10 years will continue like this for the next 35-40 years. Nobody can know that. Not even for downtown Munich.
- Value appreciation occurs especially over the value of the land, not the building. Quite the opposite, the building ages, is used, and over time no longer meets technical or energy standards. Perhaps the design also no longer fits the zeitgeist. What good are expensive marble floors and golden faucets if 90% of interested parties only think "ugly, that needs to be renewed."
- As Tassimat wrote, it is not just about carrying no burden from the mortgage at retirement but also having free funds for renovation. A single-family house then reaches an age of 30-35 years, and the big renovation projects slowly knock on the door (heating, windows, roof, facade, ...).
One can also discuss and say, why bother, it still holds up, why am I still investing six figures at 65, what do I get from that? This is how the "worn-out" houses of older people come about, until sometimes only demolition is worthwhile.
- I can also understand the idea of seeing the house only as a life companion. But will that really happen? One emotionally connects considerably more with one’s own property than with any rented three-room apartment. You built it yourself, possibly cared for it for decades and adapted it to your own ideas, the children grew up there, the garden has become beautifully overgrown, maybe the neighbors became the best friends? Today’s rational planning can look completely different in 30 years. Maybe there are grandchildren in the neighboring town by then, and you don’t just move 500 km away to the coast...
And the other important question: To what extent is the risk lower with a smaller house?
The lump sum is simply smaller. 5% loss on €200,000 is less in absolute numbers than 5% on €500,000.
What you describe is a model very common in the UK and the USA
Now to the difference:
One important difference added:
The significantly lower incidental purchase costs. In Germany these are 5-15%, depending on the federal state and whether a broker is involved or not. In the case of a "normal" single-family house, €25,000-75,000 can quickly be thrown out the window just to complete the change of ownership. The money is gone.
Then we usually have loans with fixed interest periods, which can lead to prepayment penalties when sold prematurely, which also goes straight out the window. This is also something typically German (security yay!), elsewhere loans are variable, and you can be out of the deal after 3 months.