Maschi33
2022-02-24 22:40:25
- #1
Whoever stirs up trouble two decades in front of the bear's den shouldn't be surprised when the bear comes out.
Basically, I wouldn't sell anything now. Back and forth empties pockets.
Putin has no reason to fear sanctions. On the contrary, his state finances are healthy, the Russian state is solvent. Daily foreign exchange income is guaranteed. Whether with or without Swift. Germany is against shutting down the Swift system as a sanction measure. Otherwise, existing invoices for oil and gas couldn't be paid anymore.
The West risks running into galloping inflation. Unlike the dollar, the euro can lose value very quickly.
However, I see no long-term military action in Ukraine. I think in a week Ukraine will be firmly back in Russian hands. Then peace will quickly return and the matter will calm down. The West should be cautious. As one hears, Lithuania has been blocking deliveries of goods to the Russian exclave Kaliningrad for weeks. Food supplies for the Russian population there are arriving very slowly. Putin won't look at this forever either. He can't.
We as an industrial nation face a catastrophe. Energy crisis, raw material crisis, supply shortages, labor shortage, etc. Russia has imposed an export ban on many goods, including fertilizers and wheat. Wheat has risen to a record high today. Rapeseed, corn, soy as well.
Food, electricity, gas, diesel, heating oil, building materials are likely to increase exorbitantly. And that is not Putin’s fault now.
The post is just as confused as Putin’s televised speech. Respect!