Oh... Before the interest rate can fall again, it first has to rise.
The interest rates fell after the ECB’s announcement to buy government bonds indefinitely. Nobody could have guessed that it was revealed that the plan was a pipe dream. Ha ha.
But the next chance to launch a balloon is not far away.
Since the ECB will continue to try to manage the crisis within the crisis and no longer even believes its own statements, (I think) some actions will probably follow next week. The "if, then" powder is spent.
Currently on the announcement list are, for example: negative deposit rates, further key interest rate cuts, and/or relaxation of banks’ collateral requirements.
In the short term, the corresponding measure will probably ease the situation - at least for the duration of a week or two. Until the market realizes again that it has only been “glued better."
Far too many factors and disturbances influence the market for the measures of a single institution to even remotely think and steer in the medium term.
And all the analysts and experts are no more accurate with their calculations and forecasts than the owner of the sausage stand on the corner.
So it is not hard to say: In the short term, interest rates will recover to rise again in the medium term.
Without stating values on a concrete timeline, the above statement will very likely come true.
Let’s see, then we’ll see.