Will construction material prices increase? Customs madness?

  • Erstellt am 2025-04-24 12:55:35

Tenor20

2025-04-27 15:49:32
  • #1

Which will then rather push interest rates up again.
 

HuppelHuppel

2025-04-27 15:56:54
  • #2
Perhaps the ECB will buy bonds again in one or two years. Who knows what dear Donald will do next.
 

nordanney

2025-04-27 16:11:33
  • #3
Maybe he will also ensure peace in Ukraine and the reconstruction taking place there will cause problems for us? At least that is seen by the construction industry as a much bigger "problem" than the stupid tariffs that hardly anyone thinks about.
 

Rübe1

2025-04-27 16:57:45
  • #4
Trade and industry have always been inventive in finding reasons why prices are increased. Sometimes the dollar was too high, then too weak, then raw material shortages, then the Greens were to blame, and so on and so forth. Currently, it is fashionable to blame everything on Donald to make their profit margins look excellent. And the unsuspecting then believes all of that too.
 

elminster

2025-04-27 21:04:53
  • #5

Whether you believe it or not is basically irrelevant for the person running the stuff.
Regarding the original question: I think it is hardly possible to predict prices 12-24 months in advance. It is too chaotic for that. You can't even do it for 3 months. Personally, I would be surprised by lower prices.
 

11ant

2025-04-27 21:43:27
  • #6
They have never needed to be inventive for that... ... very few goods become more expensive because there are reasons for it — but simply because someone raised their prices. There are sometimes reasons in the sense of causes, but the game works without them as well: the news reports reasons as pretexts, and in 48 hours "time to the market" those pretexts have been processed at the local pubs. Corona and the bark beetle were at least domestic; Putin and Trump are far away abroad, but also domestic in the news. Austria or Belgium, for example, are direct neighboring countries but rarely appear in the news — accordingly, their influence on reinterpreting any events as "plausible causes of alleged market mechanisms" is weak. And therefore it remains as certain as the Amen in church that nothing becomes more expensive except prices. If there were real mechanisms behind it, such curves would also go downward. Interest rates actually do this, but only because of central banks doing it for control purposes. In reality, for every real market mechanism there are a hundred lies.

More certain than the “weather” is the “climate,” i.e. the long-term trend (towards sometimes stronger and sometimes weaker inflation). My motto "Build now" comes from the fact that waiting for Godot is the greatest risk of price increases that homebuilders face. And this own goal does not come from outside or above; the enemy placing it in your nest is only yourself. Incidentally, I cannot think of any price increase that would selectively affect only owners while sparing tenants — this argument against waiting is also reliably and gladly overlooked.
 

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