majuhenema
2021-04-09 09:42:42
- #1
Which procedure have you decided on? When is the submission deadline and when is the announcement?
This is a very good hint that should actually be pinned: that in allocation procedures with point systems, personal chances of success increase by thinking in antiproportional relationships between the desirability ranking of the plots and one’s own position in the applicants’ points ranking. In the lottery, many participants choose their birth date numbers; therefore, numbers 1 through 12 and 19 are the most crowded – this is similarly true for the plot lottery in essence. Whoever has few local points, few children points, and few volunteer points – thus practically has to deduct three handicap levels – and has four "tickets," essentially wastes three tickets if they place bets on their personal ranking positions 1 through 4, and should accordingly place their tokens on their positions 4 through 7.The greatest allocation chances for applicants with lower scores are likely at 6187. Expensive, but unfavorably located. Furthermore, to the north, 6177 - 6180. All others are probably difficult to get without additional points for children, volunteer work, etc.
This is a very good hint that should actually be pinned: that in allocation procedures with point systems, it increases personal chances of winning to think in terms of anti-proportional relationships between the desirability ranking of the properties and one’s own position on the applicants’ points ranking. In the lottery, many players use their birth date numbers, so 1 to 12 and 19 are the most overcrowded – this is similarly the case with the property lottery in a figurative sense. Whoever has few local points, few children points, and few volunteer points – so practically has to subtract three handicap steps – and has four "tickets," is basically wasting three tickets if they bet on their personal ranking places 1 to 4 and should accordingly place their tokens on their places 4 to 7.
I would rather say that two things are always the same from municipality to municipality: 1. one looks for a "fair" procedure that adequately represents complex constellations of factors, and 2. one does this at meeting tables where nowadays apparently only people sit who haven’t played in ages (or never at all) – neither Monopoly, nor Sorry, Yahtzee, Uno or anything else. But in practice, this is about game theory, and you can only get knowledgeable about it in two ways: either theoretically (which is too exhausting for me despite being highly gifted), or practically (which is the way even astrophysicists in my circle of acquaintances prefer). With no knowledge or a lot of no knowledge, you only produce original complex pseudo-randomness, but inevitably miss your goal of a fair, smart method. Thank God the game ends when all the properties are gone. Strangely, allocation systems at the scale of about 50 building plots still appear to function satisfactorily, whereas with more building plots – whether 80 or 300, which also depends on the oversubscription rate – they hopelessly entangle and come to a halt. Many municipalities have heard of this phenomenon, cannot explain it, but usually react with a simple "solution": namely, that they split larger contingents into two allocation phases even when the total number on the market would actually "disappear" quickly.As I said, it varies from municipality to municipality.
When is the submission deadline and when is the announcement?
With us, you are also supposed to specify up to seven ranking positions. However, the point total plays a superior role. That means if all your favorites are gone and it’s your turn now, you can still choose a building plot.
namely, that they also split larger contingents into two allocation phases
that in allocation procedures with point systems, the personal chances of winning are increased by thinking in antiproportional relationships between the desirability ranking list of the plots and one’s own position on the applicants’ point ranking list.
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