WilderSueden
2022-02-07 23:34:18
- #1
This will be a completely normal rent in 30-40 years if rents continue to rise as they have in recent years (between 3-5%). With an apartment that still costs a comfortable 650 euros today, thanks to compound interest it will be 1,577 euros in 2052.
So it must be affordable on an average pension.
Rather unlikely. In the long term, rents cannot outpace net incomes, otherwise there would be unrest and political countermeasures. After all, everyone has to live somewhere. Whether those measures are all effective is, of course, another question. The rent cap in Berlin apparently mainly led to people selling condominiums instead of renting them out. Or simply leaving them vacant for speculative reasons...
But regardless of that, demography also plays a role. Unless Corona has triggered a new baby boom or we get massively more immigration, the population in Germany will shrink. Supply will not decrease at first, demand will, which tends to lead to falling prices. Of course, this will not affect all regions equally. Depending on what happens economically, we will certainly experience unexpected boom regions as well. But overall, over the next 30 years we will most likely not see the increases of recent years.