WilderSueden
2020-11-28 18:09:02
- #1
Predictions about the real estate market are difficult. Many people live in location X because they have to go to the office every day and working from home was not possible. It was no different for me; a year ago, I wouldn’t have thought of living so far away. But sometimes small viruses can cause big changes and entire companies can move to home office from Monday 8 a.m. to Monday 12 p.m. for 3 months. This naturally makes living further away but nice much more attractive. In big cities, rents can therefore decrease, BUT if you look at the usual commuting area for Munich, for example, it already goes almost up to Garmisch. Not much changes there; occasionally you still have to go to the office. Similar here, everything close to the highway/expanded road or the railway line is quite expensive, even in the middle of nowhere. We are now a bit in the middle of nowhere, but I don’t like taking the train anyway ;)
There is also another question, namely that of monetary policy. Will a lot of money be taken off the market in a few years by raising interest rates? Then prices for existing properties will decline because at 4-5% interest rates people can finance much less house than today. Alternatively, it could also be that the goal is pursued to reduce the dozens of trillions of new government debts through a moderate inflation of say 4%. Then it’s better to go into debt now. But no one knows today what will happen.
The only thing that is relatively certain is that building will not get cheaper in the next few years. The next stage of the energy saving ordinance will come in a few years and then today’s KfW-55 standard will be mandatory. Of course, there will no longer be any subsidies for that. Surely other great things will be thought up that look totally great for the environment on paper. For example, greening all carports. Or paving only with water-permeable stones. Think of something.
There is also another question, namely that of monetary policy. Will a lot of money be taken off the market in a few years by raising interest rates? Then prices for existing properties will decline because at 4-5% interest rates people can finance much less house than today. Alternatively, it could also be that the goal is pursued to reduce the dozens of trillions of new government debts through a moderate inflation of say 4%. Then it’s better to go into debt now. But no one knows today what will happen.
The only thing that is relatively certain is that building will not get cheaper in the next few years. The next stage of the energy saving ordinance will come in a few years and then today’s KfW-55 standard will be mandatory. Of course, there will no longer be any subsidies for that. Surely other great things will be thought up that look totally great for the environment on paper. For example, greening all carports. Or paving only with water-permeable stones. Think of something.