The only thing I would say is, the tighter the financing and the worse the loan-to-value ratio, the longer the fixed interest period should be.
But that also means that home builders with relatively limited financial resources are supposed to take the most expensive financing option.
In any case, one should know the different costs. It is often written here, "The 20 years were hardly more expensive than the 15 years." I always hope then that people know the actual absolute numbers.
Just took a quick look at biallo for a loan of €400,000 at 80% loan-to-value ratio using the example of HVB, just to show the differences
10Y 1.26%
15Y 1.65%
20Y 1.89%
Just looking at this, 15Y is IMHO out.
Based on a monthly payment of €1,500, you can compare the balance after 15 years. At that point, the 20-year loan has already cost €13,000 more, or the remaining debt on the 15-year loan is €13,000 lower. Some people use that for landscaping. This is not meant to be a judgment.
We financed a very similar amount over 10 years at very similar conditions, although after moving in it was only 9 years, and now only 8 years remain. We are very satisfied with that. If the interest rates are significantly higher in 8 years, the money saved could of course be lost again – but with the new negotiations the loan-to-value ratio is much, much better, so I am optimistic. Also, we could easily afford a higher payment. If interest rates rise above 5%, home builders with fully amortizing loans will of course laugh at the decision for the 10-year terms as the right one. The opposite would never happen because the typical German consumer has a rather distorted perception of what risk avoidance really costs, or they do not consider the necessary means as a controllable cost factor but simply as a necessary evil. Many calculations are always made as part of financial planning about income and expenses, returns, interest costs, and remaining debt. But I estimate that an in-depth consideration of different future scenarios, with their probabilities and impacts, rarely takes place. In other words: the risk analysis ends with the question of whether the payment can still be managed when a child is born.