Username_wahl
2014-10-28 11:03:01
- #1
Hello,
how do you assess the impact of inflation? (Deflation is rather unlikely.)
Assuming that inflation is around 2% per year for the next 30 years with corresponding wage increases (i.e., constant purchasing power). Then the (remaining) loan amount would decrease in value 30 times by 2% each.
If I calculate correctly, the (remaining) loan amount would then be reduced to about 54% of the original value (x 0.98^30). This means the loan does not pay itself off, but it helps.
Alternatively, inflation can also be offset against the interest to be paid to the bank. That means, for example, that 3% mortgage interest becomes "net" 1%.
Am I making a mistake in my thinking?
Does this play a role in your considerations?
how do you assess the impact of inflation? (Deflation is rather unlikely.)
Assuming that inflation is around 2% per year for the next 30 years with corresponding wage increases (i.e., constant purchasing power). Then the (remaining) loan amount would decrease in value 30 times by 2% each.
If I calculate correctly, the (remaining) loan amount would then be reduced to about 54% of the original value (x 0.98^30). This means the loan does not pay itself off, but it helps.
Alternatively, inflation can also be offset against the interest to be paid to the bank. That means, for example, that 3% mortgage interest becomes "net" 1%.
Am I making a mistake in my thinking?
Does this play a role in your considerations?